On 20 February 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) does not authorise the President to impose tariffs, invalidating the IEEPA-based tariff programme. For businesses with supply chains moving goods into or out of the USA, this is a significant development.
The ruling creates immediate uncertainty across three areas:
Lanes into the USA from Europe, the UK, Asia, and Oceania carry the highest baseline risk at this time. Businesses shipping from Canada into the USA carry lower exposure, particularly where the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement (USMCA) preference documentation is strong. South American lanes carry medium-to-high exposure depending on product category.
It is important to recognise that Section 232 (national security tariffs) and Section 301 (unfair trade practices tariffs) remain entirely unaffected by the Supreme Court ruling. For many businesses with significant China-origin or steel and aluminium sourcing, existing duty obligations continue unchanged.
This ruling could mark the beginning of an unpredictable period in which trade policy shifts faster than businesses can update their contracts, costings, or supply chain plans as several pressures are changing at once.
For any business moving significant volumes of goods into the USA, particularly from Europe, the UK, Asia, or Oceania, the next few weeks call for pro active and informed decision-making.
In the immediate term, we recommend businesses focus on three areas:
Our teams are tracking this situation daily and turning that intelligence into practical guidance for our customers. We’re helping them to map out different scenarios so supply chain and commercial teams can make proactive decisions without unnecessary disruption to operations or costs.
If you’d like to understand your exposure and explore your options, please get in touch with us.